USA: MLSSaturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Orlando City SC vFC Cincinnati

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Orlando City SC 39%Draw 26%FC Cincinnati 35%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
85%
How we get there
Orlando City SCstepFC Cincinnati
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Orlando City SC or draw
52%
Not both teams to score
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Orlando City average 4.8 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Cincinnati average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Orlando City SC fixtures & form →FC Cincinnati fixtures & form →

Orlando City vs Cincinnati — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 23 May 2026, Orlando City have won 0, Cincinnati have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
23 May 2026Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando CityUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Orlando City 39% · draw 26% · Cincinnati 35%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Orlando City predictions & form →Cincinnati predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.