How it finished
Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Orlando City SC at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.7 goals; only 2 were scored. Orlando City SC had 17 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 11 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Orlando City SC at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.7 goals; only 2 were scored. Orlando City SC had 17 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 11 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 39%, the draw 26% and FC Cincinnati 35%.
What were the stats in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.4, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 2–3, Corners 10–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 1–8, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Yes — both Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 71% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Orlando City SC or draw 65%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 71%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Orlando City SC or draw 52%, it finished Landed.