Poland and Bosnia-Herzegovina drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Poland at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Poland had 14 shots (4 on target) to Bosnia-Herzegovina's 9 (1), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Poland and Bosnia-Herzegovina drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Poland at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Poland had 14 shots (4 on target) to Bosnia-Herzegovina's 9 (1), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.3.
Poland 0–0 Bosnia-Herzegovina, played on 25 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Poland 46%, the draw 25% and Bosnia-Herzegovina 29%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.3, Shots 14–9, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 6–4, Big chances 1–0, Corners 3–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 18–17, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 3–5.
No. It finished 0–0, so Poland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Poland or draw 71%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.