How it finished
Poland beat Romania 6–0. Bawler's model had Poland in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Poland had 24 shots (9 on target) to Romania's 10 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Poland vs Romania?
Poland beat Romania 6–0. Bawler's model had Poland in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Poland had 24 shots (9 on target) to Romania's 10 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Poland vs Romania?
Poland 6–0 Romania, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Poland 62%, the draw 22% and Romania 16%.
What were the stats in Poland vs Romania?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 3.5–0.6, Shots 24–10, Shots on target 9–3, Shots inside box 18–6, Big chances 4–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 3–4, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Poland vs Romania?
No. It finished 6–0, so Romania failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Poland vs Romania right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Poland to win 62%, it finished Poland won (62% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.