Portland Timbers beat San Diego FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Portland Timbers in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Portland Timbers had 11 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 21 (6), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Portland Timbers beat San Diego FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Portland Timbers in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Portland Timbers had 11 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 21 (6), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.
Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portland Timbers 40%, the draw 25% and San Diego FC 35%.
Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.4, Shots 11–21, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 6–13, Big chances 3–1, Corners 0–7, Saves 5–2, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Yes — both Portland Timbers and San Diego FC scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portland Timbers or draw 65%, it finished Portland Timbers won (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.