USA: MLSThursday 20 Aug, 02:30 UTC

Portland Timbers vSan Diego FC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.30 goals expected
Portland Timbers 47%Draw 24%San Diego FC 29%
How we get there
Portland TimbersstepSan Diego FC
1.88Base xG · rolling 26-match1.42
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.88Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.42

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Portland Timbers average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). San Diego average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
5
4
2
1
1
7
10
7
3
1
2
6
9
7
3
1
3
4
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Portland Timbers fixtures & form →San Diego FC fixtures & form →

Portland Timbers vs San Diego — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Portland Timbers and San Diego — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Portland Timbers 47% · draw 24% · San Diego 29%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Portland Timbers predictions & form →San Diego predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.