Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK
Portland Timbers 40Draw 25San Diego FC 35
Our call before kickoff
65%
Portland Timbers or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Portland Timbers beat San Diego FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Portland Timbers in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Portland Timbers had 11 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 21 (6), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.

Portland…Full-time statsSan Diego FC
30%Possession70%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.4
11Shots21
5Shots on target6
6Shots inside box13
3Big chances1
0Corners7
5Saves2
15Fouls11
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPortland Timbers or draw 65%Portland Timbers won (40% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score61%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Portland TimbersSan Diego FC
1.6
Goals+0.1
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Portland Timbers to score79%
San Diego FC to score77%
Under 3.5 goals64%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Portland Timbers 1 · Draws 1 · San Diego FC 3
San Diego FC in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026San Diego FC 1–2 Portland Timbers
Nov 2025San Diego FC 4–0 Portland Timbers
Nov 2025Portland Timbers 2–2 San Diego FC
Oct 2025San Diego FC 2–1 Portland Timbers
Oct 2025Portland Timbers 0–4 San Diego FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

Portland Timbers beat San Diego FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Portland Timbers in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Portland Timbers had 11 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 21 (6), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portland Timbers 40%, the draw 25% and San Diego FC 35%.

What were the stats in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.4, Shots 11–21, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 6–13, Big chances 3–1, Corners 0–7, Saves 5–2, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

Yes — both Portland Timbers and San Diego FC scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portland Timbers or draw 65%, it finished Portland Timbers won (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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