FC Porto beat Rio Ave 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Rio Ave had 13 shots (1 on target) to FC Porto's 14 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
FC Porto beat Rio Ave 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Rio Ave had 13 shots (1 on target) to FC Porto's 14 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.0.
Rio Ave 0–2 FC Porto, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rio Ave 31%, the draw 33% and FC Porto 35%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–2.0, Shots 13–14, Shots on target 1–6, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 0–4, Corners 6–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 1–10, Offsides 1–3.
No. It finished 0–2, so Rio Ave failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Porto or draw 69%, it finished FC Porto won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.