Rio Ave vs FC Porto prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 15 Aug · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 15 Aug · 20:30 UK
Rio Ave 31Draw 33FC Porto 35
Our call before kickoff
69%
FC Porto or draw
Landed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
46%

How it finished

FC Porto beat Rio Ave 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Rio Ave had 13 shots (1 on target) to FC Porto's 14 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.0.

Rio AveFull-time statsFC Porto
48%Possession52%
0.6Expected goals (xG)2.0
13Shots14
1Shots on target6
5Shots inside box9
0Big chances4
6Corners6
4Saves1
1Fouls10
1Offsides3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Porto or draw 69%FC Porto won (35% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score51%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Rio AveFC Porto
1.2
Goals+0.1
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals75%
FC Porto to score73%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Rio Ave to score70%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.1 / match
FC Porto in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Rio Ave vs FC Porto?

FC Porto beat Rio Ave 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Rio Ave had 13 shots (1 on target) to FC Porto's 14 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.0.

What was the final score in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?

Rio Ave 0–2 FC Porto, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rio Ave 31%, the draw 33% and FC Porto 35%.

What were the stats in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–2.0, Shots 13–14, Shots on target 1–6, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 0–4, Corners 6–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 1–10, Offsides 1–3.

Did both teams score in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?

No. It finished 0–2, so Rio Ave failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Rio Ave vs FC Porto right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Porto or draw 69%, it finished FC Porto won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Rio Ave form →FC Porto form →