How it finished
Bosnia-Herzegovina beat Romania 4–2. Bawler's model had Bosnia-Herzegovina in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Romania had 13 shots (4 on target) to Bosnia-Herzegovina's 15 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Bosnia-Herzegovina beat Romania 4–2. Bawler's model had Bosnia-Herzegovina in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Romania had 13 shots (4 on target) to Bosnia-Herzegovina's 15 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 2.4.
What was the final score in Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Romania 2–4 Bosnia-Herzegovina, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Romania 24%, the draw 26% and Bosnia-Herzegovina 50%.
What were the stats in Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–2.4, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 2–6, Corners 4–3, Saves 3–2, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Yes — both Romania and Bosnia-Herzegovina scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bosnia-Herzegovina or draw 76%, it finished Bosnia-Herzegovina won (50% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.