How it finished
Sweden beat Romania 1–0. Bawler's model had Sweden in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Romania had 13 shots (4 on target) to Sweden's 12 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 2.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Romania vs Sweden?
Sweden beat Romania 1–0. Bawler's model had Sweden in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Romania had 13 shots (4 on target) to Sweden's 12 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 2.6.
What was the final score in Romania vs Sweden?
Romania 0–1 Sweden, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Romania 14%, the draw 18% and Sweden 68%.
What were the stats in Romania vs Sweden?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–2.6, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 0–6, Corners 5–4, Saves 1–4, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Romania vs Sweden?
No. It finished 0–1, so Romania failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Romania vs Sweden right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sweden to win 68%, it finished Sweden won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No.