How it finished
Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1. Bawler's model had Netherlands in front at 85% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Serbia had 11 shots (6 on target) to Netherlands' 25 (8), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Serbia vs Netherlands?
Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1. Bawler's model had Netherlands in front at 85% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Serbia had 11 shots (6 on target) to Netherlands' 25 (8), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.8.
What was the final score in Serbia vs Netherlands?
Serbia 1–2 Netherlands, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Serbia 4%, the draw 11% and Netherlands 85%.
What were the stats in Serbia vs Netherlands?
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.8, Shots 11–25, Shots on target 6–8, Shots inside box 10–15, Big chances 4–6, Corners 3–4, Saves 6–5, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Serbia vs Netherlands?
Yes — both Serbia and Netherlands scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 39% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Serbia vs Netherlands right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Netherlands to win 85%, it finished Netherlands won (85% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 39%, it finished Yes.