How it finished
Switzerland beat Slovenia 2–1. Bawler's model had Switzerland in front at 84% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Switzerland had 13 shots (6 on target) to Slovenia's 10 (3), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Switzerland vs Slovenia?
Switzerland beat Slovenia 2–1. Bawler's model had Switzerland in front at 84% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Switzerland had 13 shots (6 on target) to Slovenia's 10 (3), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Switzerland vs Slovenia?
Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Switzerland 84%, the draw 13% and Slovenia 4%.
What were the stats in Switzerland vs Slovenia?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.4, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–6, Fouls 8–15, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–5.
Did both teams score in Switzerland vs Slovenia?
Yes — both Switzerland and Slovenia scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 31% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Switzerland vs Slovenia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Switzerland to win 84%, it finished Switzerland won (84% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 31%, it finished Yes.