How it finished
Northern Ireland beat Ukraine 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Ukraine at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Northern Ireland 26%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
Northern Ireland beat Ukraine 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Ukraine at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Northern Ireland 26%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 3.
What was the final score in Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ukraine 44%, the draw 30% and Northern Ireland 26%.
Did both teams score in Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?
No. It finished 0–3, so Ukraine failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Ukraine vs Northern Ireland right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ukraine or draw 74%, it finished Northern Ireland won (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished No.