NETHERLANDS: EredivisieSaturday 15 Aug, 14:30 UTC

Willem II vNEC Nijmegen

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Willem II 42%Draw 31%NEC Nijmegen 27%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
83%
How we get there
Willem IIstepNEC Nijmegen
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Willem II average 1.7 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches). Nijmegen average 5.1 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Willem II fixtures & form →NEC Nijmegen fixtures & form →

Willem II vs Nijmegen — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Willem II and Nijmegen — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Willem II 42% · draw 31% · Nijmegen 27%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Willem II predictions & form →Nijmegen predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Willem II 1–4 NEC Nijmegen
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.