How it finished
NEC Nijmegen beat Willem II 4–1. Bawler's model favoured Willem II at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave NEC Nijmegen 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Willem II had 9 shots (2 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 21 (10), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 3.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen beat Willem II 4–1. Bawler's model favoured Willem II at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave NEC Nijmegen 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Willem II had 9 shots (2 on target) to NEC Nijmegen's 21 (10), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 3.0.
What was the final score in Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Willem II 1–4 NEC Nijmegen, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Willem II 42%, the draw 31% and NEC Nijmegen 27%.
What were the stats in Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–3.0, Shots 9–21, Shots on target 2–10, Shots inside box 7–12, Big chances 2–7, Corners 1–2, Saves 6–1, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Yes — both Willem II and NEC Nijmegen scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Willem II or draw 73%, it finished NEC Nijmegen won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.