Alanyaspor vs Besiktas prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 23 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 23 Aug · 19:30 UK
Alanyaspor 27Draw 27Besiktas 46
Our call before kickoff
73%
Besiktas or draw
Missed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
51%

How it finished

Alanyaspor beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Alanyaspor had 9 shots (3 on target) to Besiktas' 14 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 0.7, so Besiktas created the better chances and still lost the game.

AlanyasporFull-time statsBesiktas
35%Possession65%
0.4Expected goals (xG)0.7
9Shots14
3Shots on target6
7Shots inside box8
1Big chances0
7Corners7
6Saves2
14Fouls14
2Offsides3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBesiktas or draw 73%Alanyaspor won (27% called)
Total goals2.71
Both teams to score54%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AlanyasporBesiktas
1.2
Goals+0.4
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Besiktas to score79%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Alanyaspor to score69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Alanyaspor 1 · Draws 3 · Besiktas 1
Besiktas in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Beşiktaş 3–0 Alanyaspor
Feb 2026Beşiktaş 2–2 Alanyaspor
Aug 2025Alanyaspor 2–0 Beşiktaş
May 2025Alanyaspor 1–1 Beşiktaş
Dec 2024Beşiktaş 1–1 Alanyaspor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Alanyaspor vs Besiktas?

Alanyaspor beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Alanyaspor had 9 shots (3 on target) to Besiktas' 14 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 0.7, so Besiktas created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Alanyaspor vs Besiktas?

Alanyaspor 1–0 Besiktas, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alanyaspor 27%, the draw 27% and Besiktas 46%.

What were the stats in Alanyaspor vs Besiktas?

Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.7, Shots 9–14, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 1–0, Corners 7–7, Saves 6–2, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 2–3.

Did both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Besiktas?

No. It finished 1–0, so Besiktas failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Alanyaspor vs Besiktas right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Besiktas or draw 73%, it finished Alanyaspor won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Alanyaspor form →Besiktas form →