Alanyaspor beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Alanyaspor had 9 shots (3 on target) to Besiktas' 14 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 0.7, so Besiktas created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Alanyaspor beat Besiktas 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Besiktas at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Alanyaspor had 9 shots (3 on target) to Besiktas' 14 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 0.7, so Besiktas created the better chances and still lost the game.
Alanyaspor 1–0 Besiktas, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alanyaspor 27%, the draw 27% and Besiktas 46%.
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.7, Shots 9–14, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 1–0, Corners 7–7, Saves 6–2, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 2–3.
No. It finished 1–0, so Besiktas failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Besiktas or draw 73%, it finished Alanyaspor won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed.