Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Blackburn
Team profile

Blackburn Prediction

Per-game numbers from 49 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.1
a game
12.0 faced
On target
3.4
a game
3.8 faced
Goals
1.0 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 49 matches
Next match
36%
Blackburn win chance
vs Middlesbrough · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Blackburn prediction: for Blackburn's next match — Blackburn vs Middlesbrough on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Blackburn win looks most likely (36%).

Blackburn sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.21 expected goals a game and conceding 1.19. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.86 goals a game against 1.21 expected. Next up is Middlesbrough, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 36%.

Blackburn in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 0.8Away 1.1
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.1
Home 5.8Away 5.2
12.1
Shots · per game
faced 12.0
Home 11.6Away 12.5
3.4
On target · per game
faced 3.8
Home 3.2Away 3.5
Last 6 games
14 Aug
2-2
@ Wolverhampton
5-5
08 Aug
2-1
@ Burton
9-6
08 Aug
2-1
@ Burton Albion
9-6
02 May
0-1
vs Leicester
9-11
22 Apr
3-1
@ Sheffield United
4-2
17 Apr
1-1
vs Coventry
3-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Middlesbrough · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
36%
Blackburn
Draw
35%
Loss
29%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Blackburn compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.21
Below average
Goals against
1.19
Tighter than most
Record
2W 4D 1L
7 settled
Real goals
0.9 – 0.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.21
Conceded1.19

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Tough market: Result
Blackburn matches give the model a harder read here — 2/5 (40%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on Blackburn

57%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 7
Result40%2/5
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Tue 25 Augvs Sheffield United

Recent matches (last 7)

Fri 14 Aug@ Wolverhampton Wanderers
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Aug@ Burton Albion
High confidence: Burton Albion or Draw
Sat 02 Mayvs Leicester
High confidence: 1X
Fri 17 Aprvs Coventry
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Mon 06 Aprvs West Brom
High confidence: 1X
Fri 03 Apr@ Birmingham
High confidence: 1X
Sat 21 Marvs Middlesbrough
High confidence: X2

More on Blackburn and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly