England: EFL CupTuesday 25 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Blackburn Rovers vSheffield United

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.48 goals expected
Blackburn Rovers 42%Draw 33%Sheffield United 25%
How we get there
Blackburn RoversstepSheffield United
1.42Base xG · rolling 26-match1.06
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.42Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.06

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Blackburn average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Sheffield United average 5.5 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
12
13
7
2
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
2
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Blackburn vs Sheffield United — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Blackburn and Sheffield United — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Blackburn 42% · draw 33% · Sheffield United 25%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.