Sheffield United beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 9 shots (5 on target) to Sheffield United's 16 (5), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Sheffield United beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 9 shots (5 on target) to Sheffield United's 16 (5), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.
Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Sheffield United, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackburn Rovers 36%, the draw 27% and Sheffield United 37%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.9, Shots 9–16, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 2–4, Corners 6–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 2–0.
Yes — both Blackburn Rovers and Sheffield United scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sheffield United or draw 64%, it finished Sheffield United won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.