Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough prediction — Championship · Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 UK
Blackburn Rovers 28Draw 29Middlesbrough 43
Our call before kickoff
72%
Middlesbrough or draw
Missed
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
49%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
44%

How it finished

Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 28%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 6 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 22 (3), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 1.3, so Middlesbrough created the better chances and still lost the game.

Blackburn…Full-time statsMiddlesbrough
29%Possession71%
1.0Expected goals (xG)1.3
6Shots22
5Shots on target3
5Shots inside box13
3Big chances1
2Corners10
2Saves2
9Fouls10
3Offsides3
4Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMiddlesbrough or draw 72%Blackburn Rovers won (28% called)
Total goals2.43
Both teams to score49%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Blackburn RoversMiddlesbrough
1.0
Goals+0.3
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals77%
Middlesbrough to score75%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Blackburn Rovers to score65%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Blackburn Rovers 2 · Draws 2 · Middlesbrough 1
Middlesbrough in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Middlesbrough
Dec 2025Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn Rovers
Apr 2025Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Middlesbrough
Jan 2025Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn Rovers
Nov 2024Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn Rovers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 28%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 6 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 22 (3), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 1.3, so Middlesbrough created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Middlesbrough, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackburn Rovers 28%, the draw 29% and Middlesbrough 43%.

What were the stats in Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.3, Shots 6–22, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–10, Saves 2–2, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Yes — both Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Middlesbrough or draw 72%, it finished Blackburn Rovers won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Blackburn Rovers form →Middlesbrough form →