Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 28%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 6 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 22 (3), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 1.3, so Middlesbrough created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 28%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 6 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 22 (3), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 1.3, so Middlesbrough created the better chances and still lost the game.
Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Middlesbrough, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackburn Rovers 28%, the draw 29% and Middlesbrough 43%.
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.3, Shots 6–22, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–10, Saves 2–2, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 4–1.
Yes — both Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Middlesbrough or draw 72%, it finished Blackburn Rovers won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes.