England: ChampionshipSaturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Blackburn Rovers vMiddlesbrough

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.33 goals expected
Blackburn Rovers 36%Draw 35%Middlesbrough 29%
How we get there
Blackburn RoversstepMiddlesbrough
1.24Base xG · rolling 26-match1.09
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.24Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.09

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Blackburn average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Middlesbrough average 5.9 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
10
11
6
2
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
7
8
4
2
3
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Blackburn Rovers fixtures & form →Middlesbrough fixtures & form →

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 21 March 2026, Blackburn have won 0, Middlesbrough have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
21 March 2026Blackburn 0–0 MiddlesbroughENGLAND: Championship

The model's verdict for this fixture: Blackburn 36% · draw 35% · Middlesbrough 29%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Blackburn predictions & form →Middlesbrough predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.