Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Bologna
Team profile

Bologna Prediction

Per-game numbers from 52 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.3
a game
10.0 faced
On target
4.5
a game
3.7 faced
Goals
1.4 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 52 matches
Next match
44%
Bologna win chance
vs Lazio · Mon 24 Aug 16:30

Bologna prediction: for Bologna's next match — Bologna vs Lazio on Monday 24 Aug, 16:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Bologna win looks most likely (44%).

Bologna sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.22 expected goals a game and conceding 1.32. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.63 a game against 1.22 expected. Next up is Lazio, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 44%.

Bologna in numbers

52 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 1.1Away 1.6
5.1
Corners · per game
give up 4.2
Home 6.1Away 4.2
14.3
Shots · per game
faced 10.0
Home 16.1Away 12.5
4.5
On target · per game
faced 3.7
Home 4.4Away 4.6
Last 6 games
23 May
3-3
vs Inter Milan
1-4
17 May
1-0
@ Atalanta
5-2
11 May
3-2
@ Napoli
1-7
03 May
0-0
vs Cagliari
7-2
25 Apr
0-2
vs Roma
7-7
19 Apr
0-2
@ Juventus
1-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Lazio · Monday 24 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Win
44%
Bologna
Draw
31%
Loss
25%
Lazio
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Bologna compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.22
Below average
Goals against
1.32
Tighter than most
Record
3W 2D 3L
8 settled
Real goals
1.6 – 2.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.22
Conceded1.32

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.24 scored, 1.32 conceded).

How Bawler has done on Bologna

63%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 8
Result50%3/6
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Sat 23 Mayvs Internazionale
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 May@ Atalanta
High confidence: 1X
Mon 11 May@ Napoli
High confidence: 1X
Thu 16 Apr@ Aston Villa
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 09 Aprvs Aston Villa
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Apr@ Cremonese
High confidence: X2
Sun 22 Marvs Lazio
High confidence: 1X
Thu 19 Mar@ AS Roma
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INArtem DovbykSTfrom RomaLoan
INRoberto PiccoliSTfrom FiorentinaLoan
INMikel AmondarainDMfrom Estudiantes€9.3m
INRahim AlhassaneLBfrom Real Oviedo€3.5m
OUTSantiago CastroSTto Roma€35m
OUTGiovanni FabbianAMto Fiorentina€16m
OUTBenja DomínguezLWto SassuoloLoan
OUTFederico RavagliaGKto Watford€7m
OUTMichel AebischerCMto Pisa€4.5m
OUTAntonio RaimondoSTto FrosinoneLoan
OUTRemo FreulerDMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTMihajlo IlicCBto CesenaLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Bologna and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly