Cagliari
Cagliari operate as a low-volume attacking side conceding consistently above Serie A average, with an xG profile of 1.06 scored against 1.49 conceded per match—a signature of defensive vulnerability masking modest offensive ambition. Recent form has been poor, yielding just one win across four settled fixtures with three consecutive losses that align with their underlying metrics. With no immediate fixtures in the prediction window, the model's focus remains on their structural weaknesses when matches resume. Bawler's Banker picks have performed well on Cagliari at 75% strike rate, suggesting reliable edges in their matches.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Cagliari were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Italy: Serie A average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Cagliari are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Cagliari actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Cagliari's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Cagliari fixture, the model lands 3 out of 5 (60%). Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.