Parma vs Cagliari prediction — Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK
Parma 35Draw 30Cagliari 35
Our call before kickoff
65%
Cagliari or draw
Landed
2.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
40%

How it finished

Cagliari beat Parma 1–0. Bawler's model had Cagliari in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Parma had 12 shots (2 on target) to Cagliari's 14 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.

ParmaFull-time statsCagliari
47%Possession53%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.0
12Shots14
2Shots on target5
6Shots inside box9
2Big chances2
3Corners2
4Saves2
6Fouls20
1Offsides0
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCagliari or draw 65%Cagliari won (35% called)
Total goals2.31
Both teams to score46%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 66%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ParmaCagliari
1.1
Goals
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals80%
Cagliari to score68%
Parma to score68%
Over 1.5 goals66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Parma 0 · Draws 2 · Cagliari 3
Cagliari in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Parma 1–1 Cagliari
Sept 2025Cagliari 2–0 Parma
Feb 2025Cagliari 2–1 Parma
Sept 2024Parma 2–3 Cagliari
Jun 2023Parma 0–0 Cagliari
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Parma vs Cagliari?

Cagliari beat Parma 1–0. Bawler's model had Cagliari in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Parma had 12 shots (2 on target) to Cagliari's 14 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Parma vs Cagliari?

Parma 0–1 Cagliari, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Parma 35%, the draw 30% and Cagliari 35%.

What were the stats in Parma vs Cagliari?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.0, Shots 12–14, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 6–9, Big chances 2–2, Corners 3–2, Saves 4–2, Fouls 6–20, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Parma vs Cagliari?

No. It finished 0–1, so Parma failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Parma vs Cagliari right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cagliari or draw 65%, it finished Cagliari won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 66%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Parma form →Cagliari form →