Cagliari beat Parma 1–0. Bawler's model had Cagliari in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Parma had 12 shots (2 on target) to Cagliari's 14 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Cagliari beat Parma 1–0. Bawler's model had Cagliari in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Parma had 12 shots (2 on target) to Cagliari's 14 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.
Parma 0–1 Cagliari, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Parma 35%, the draw 30% and Cagliari 35%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.0, Shots 12–14, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 6–9, Big chances 2–2, Corners 3–2, Saves 4–2, Fouls 6–20, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Parma failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cagliari or draw 65%, it finished Cagliari won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 66%, it finished Missed.