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Bawler / England: Premier League / Everton
Everton crest

Everton

England: Premier League

Everton operate as a modest attacking force with an xG profile that reveals structural imbalance: they're creating chances at 1.38 per match but leaking 1.54 at the other end, a signature of a side stretched defensively. Recent form has been mixed across three settled fixtures, yielding one win, one draw and one defeat, suggesting inconsistency rather than momentum. With no immediate fixture in the analysis window, the focus remains on Bawler's underlying model edge on Everton matches, where banker picks have landed at 67% strike rate across our tracked sample.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.34-0.11 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.48+0.01 vs league
◇ = England: Premier League average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Everton were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the England: Premier League average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Everton are above average there.

> xG performance · last 4 matches
0123vs Chelsea: actual 3, xG 1.35@ Crystal Palace: actual 2, xG 1.35vs Sunderland: actual 1, xG 1.45@ Tottenham: actual 0, xG 1.22Chelse@CrystaSunder@Totten
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +0.6 goals vs xG (+0.16/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Everton actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> Form · last 4
Overall: 1W / 1D / 2L · Avg goals 1.5 for, 1.5 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Everton's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
4
4 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.34
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.48
per match
Banker Hit Rate
50%
2/4 picks
> Bawler's record on Everton by market
Result0%0/2
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Everton fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Everton matches.

> Recent matches (last 4)

> More from Bawler