Bawler / England: Premier League / Everton
Team profile

Everton Prediction

Per-game numbers from 42 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.6
a game
13.7 faced
On target
4.1
a game
4.1 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 42 matches
Next match
44%
Everton win chance
vs Crystal Palace · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Everton prediction: for Everton's next match — Everton vs Crystal Palace on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Everton win looks most likely (44%).

Everton sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.34 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. Next up is Crystal Palace, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 44%.

Everton in numbers

42 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.4Away 1.2
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
Home 5.0Away 4.3
11.6
Shots · per game
faced 13.7
Home 12.2Away 10.9
4.1
On target · per game
faced 4.1
Home 4.4Away 3.8
Last 6 games
16 Aug
1-1
vs A. Italiano
3-2
08 Aug
4-1
@ Huachipato
7-3
01 Aug
3-4
vs Colo Colo
7-3
28 Jul
1-1
@ Union La Calera
10-9
24 May
0-1
@ Tottenham
7-7
17 May
1-3
vs Sunderland
3-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Crystal Palace · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
44%
Everton
Draw
29%
Loss
27%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Everton compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.34
Below average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Record
1W 1D 2L
4 settled
Real goals
1.5 – 1.5
For / against, per match
Scored1.34
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.44 scored, 1.47 conceded).

How Bawler has done on Everton

Result0%0/2
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Wed 26 Aug@ Preston North End

Recent matches (last 4)

Sun 24 May@ Tottenham Hotspur
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 Mayvs Sunderland
High confidence: 1X
Sun 10 May@ Crystal Palace
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs Chelsea
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INBrennan JohnsonAMfrom Crystal PalaceUndisclosed
INMerlin RöhlRWfrom Freiburg€25m
INHayden HackneyDMfrom Middlesbrough€19m
INChristian NørgaardDMfrom Arsenal€8m
OUTDwight McNeilRWto Crystal PalaceUndisclosed
OUTMartin SherifSTto Port ValeLoan
OUTIdrissa Gana GueyeDMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTElijah CampbellCBto Port ValeLoan
OUTSéamus ColemanRWBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTTyler OnyangoRWBto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

TarkowskiTarkowskiDEF · £6.0m · 9.6% owned3.6 pts
Dewsbury-HallDewsbury-HallMID · £6.5m · 3.6% owned3.3 pts
NdiayeNdiayeMID · £6.0m · 15.6% owned3.1 pts
PickfordPickfordGKP · £5.5m · 8.7% owned3.1 pts
BranthwaiteBranthwaiteDEF · £5.5m · 1.9% owned3.0 pts
Next 5:CRY (H)BOU (A)MUN (H)TOT (A)IPS (H)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

More on Everton and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly