Fiorentina
Fiorentina operate as a tight, balanced unit in Conference League—marginally outshot (1.39 xG for, 1.46 against) but defensively composed. Recent form shows resilience across six matches (3W-2D-1L), though inconsistency in the final third has cost them draws. With no imminent fixtures in the current window, focus shifts to knockout preparation. Bawler's model has backed their matches at a 67% banker success rate, suggesting our xG-based projections align well with their competitive profile.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Fiorentina were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Italy: Serie A average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Fiorentina are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Fiorentina actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Fiorentina's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Fiorentina fixture, the model lands 5 out of 7 (71%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Fiorentina fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Fiorentina matches.