AZ Alkmaar beat Fortuna Sittard 2–0. Bawler's model had AZ Alkmaar in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Fortuna Sittard had 4 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 26 (11), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 4.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
AZ Alkmaar beat Fortuna Sittard 2–0. Bawler's model had AZ Alkmaar in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Fortuna Sittard had 4 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 26 (11), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 4.3.
Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fortuna Sittard 23%, the draw 24% and AZ Alkmaar 53%.
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–4.3, Shots 4–26, Shots on target 2–11, Shots inside box 2–18, Big chances 1–5, Corners 1–15, Saves 9–2, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–2, so Fortuna Sittard failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AZ Alkmaar or draw 77%, it finished AZ Alkmaar won (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said AZ Alkmaar to win 53%, it finished Landed.