What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
Bawler's model rates this match: Heart of Midlothian are favoured (41% win probability vs 32% for Falkirk, 28% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Falkirk 1-1 Heart of Midlothian (13.2% probability). Expected total goals: 2.6.
How does Bawler predict Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Falkirk 32%, the draw 28% and Heart of Midlothian 41%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on Falkirk expecting 1.21 goals and Heart of Midlothian 1.40.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?
Bawler's model expects 2.6 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 48%.