Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Le Havre
Team profile

Le Havre Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
10.9
a game
13.0 faced
On target
3.6
a game
4.2 faced
Goals
0.9 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 34 matches
Next match
31%
Le Havre win chance
vs Monaco · Sun 23 Aug 15:15

Le Havre prediction: for Le Havre's next match — Le Havre vs Monaco on Sunday 23 Aug, 15:15 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Monaco are favoured (43%).

Le Havre sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.23 expected goals a game and conceding 1.42. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.67 a game against 1.23 expected. Next up is AS Monaco, where the model has them as underdogs at 31%.

Le Havre in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.9
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 1.2Away 0.7
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 4.8Away 3.7
10.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.0
Home 12.0Away 9.9
3.6
On target · per game
faced 4.2
Home 3.9Away 3.4
Last 6 games
17 May
2-0
@ Lorient
1-5
10 May
0-1
vs Marseille
3-0
03 May
1-1
@ Lille
5-14
26 Apr
4-4
vs Metz
6-4
18 Apr
1-1
@ Angers
3-4
12 Apr
1-1
@ Nice
2-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Monaco · Sunday 23 Aug, 15:15 UTC

Win
31%
Le Havre
Draw
26%
Loss
43%
Monaco
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Le Havre compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.23
Below average
Goals against
1.42
Tighter than most
Record
1W 3D 2L
6 settled
Real goals
1.7 – 1.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.23
Conceded1.42

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.35 scored, 1.50 conceded).

How Bawler has done on Le Havre

67%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 6
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Sun 17 May@ Lorient
High confidence: 1X
Sun 10 Mayvs Marseille
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Aprvs Metz
High confidence: Le Havre or Draw (Double Chance)
Sat 18 Apr@ Angers
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Aprvs Auxerre
High confidence: 1X
Sun 22 Mar@ Paris FC
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INAmir RichardsonCMfrom FiorentinaLoan
INJosh MajaSTfrom West Bromwich AlbionFree transfer
INJunior MwangaCMfrom Strasbourg€1.5m
INTimothée PembéléRBfrom SunderlandFree transfer
INSota NakamuraAMfrom Sanfrecce HiroshimaLoan
INKaito MizutaAMfrom RW EssenFree transfer
INVincent SassoCBfrom DunkerqueFree transfer
INJoan TincrèsSTfrom MonacoUndisclosed
OUTArouna SanganteCBto SevillaFree transfer
OUTYassine KechtaAMto LeganesFree transfer
OUTIssa SoumaréSTto RennesFree transfer
OUTKenny QuetantSTto Werder BremenFree transfer
OUTGautier LlorisCBto BrestFree transfer
OUTLoïc NégoRBto Omonia NicosiaFree transfer
OUTNoam Jacquetto NancyLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Le Havre and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly