Lecce
Lecce operate as a genuinely limited attacking force (0.95 xG per match) whilst shipping chances at an alarming rate (1.49 conceded), a profile that explains their recent collapse: one win in four settled games. With no fixture currently scheduled, the model will await their next outing to capitalise on what has historically been a profitable lean—Bawler's banker selections have landed at 75% on Lecce matches, suggesting the underlying data captures their structural vulnerabilities well.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Lecce were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Italy: Serie A average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Lecce are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Lecce actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Lecce's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Lecce fixture, the model lands 3 out of 5 (60%). Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.