Lecce beat Venezia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Venezia at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lecce 22%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Venezia had 19 shots (7 on target) to Lecce's 12 (5), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Lecce beat Venezia 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Venezia at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lecce 22%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Venezia had 19 shots (7 on target) to Lecce's 12 (5), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.2.
Venezia 0–2 Lecce, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Venezia 51%, the draw 27% and Lecce 22%.
Full-time: Possession 71%–29%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–2.2, Shots 19–12, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 12–7, Big chances 6–3, Corners 5–3, Saves 2–6, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–3.
No. It finished 0–2, so Venezia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Venezia or draw 78%, it finished Lecce won (22% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.