Italy: Serie ASunday 23 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Venezia vLecce

Most likely scoreline
1–0
14% of the time · 2.42 goals expected
Venezia 44%Draw 30%Lecce 26%
How we get there
VeneziastepLecce
1.59Base xG · rolling 26-match0.83
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.59Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.83

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Lecce average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
7
3
1
1
14
12
5
1
2
11
9
4
1
3
6
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Venezia fixtures & form →Lecce fixtures & form →

Venezia vs Lecce — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Venezia and Lecce — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Venezia 44% · draw 30% · Lecce 26%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Venezia predictions & form →Lecce predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.