Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Norwich
Team profile

Norwich Prediction

Per-game numbers from 49 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.4
a game
11.8 faced
On target
4.7
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
1.5 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 49 matches
Next match
22%
Norwich win chance
at Millwall · Sat 22 Aug 11:30

Norwich prediction: for Norwich's next match — Millwall vs Norwich on Saturday 22 Aug, 11:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Millwall are favoured (48%).

Norwich sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.35 expected goals a game and conceding 1.30. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.35 expected. Next up is a trip to Millwall, where the model has them as underdogs at 22%.

Norwich in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 1.4Away 1.6
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 5.9Away 5.0
13.4
Shots · per game
faced 11.8
Home 15.2Away 11.5
4.7
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 4.9Away 4.4
Last 6 games
15 Aug
1-2
vs West Brom
8-2
08 Aug
4-1
vs MK Dons
7-3
08 Aug
4-1
vs Milton Keynes Dons
7-3
02 May
1-2
@ Hull
7-1
25 Apr
1-1
vs Swansea
5-2
21 Apr
2-1
vs Derby
3-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Millwall · Saturday 22 Aug, 11:30 UTC

Win
22%
Norwich
Draw
30%
Loss
48%
Millwall
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Norwich compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.35
Above average
Goals against
1.30
Leakier than most
Record
4W 1D 2L
7 settled
Real goals
2.0 – 1.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.35
Conceded1.30

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Norwich fixtures (4/5).

How Bawler has done on Norwich

86%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Tue 25 Aug@ Cardiff City

Recent matches (last 7)

Sat 15 Augvs West Bromwich Albion
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Augvs Milton Keynes Dons
High confidence: Norwich City or Draw
Sat 02 May@ Hull
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 18 Apr@ Bristol City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Mon 06 Apr@ Millwall
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 03 Aprvs Portsmouth
High confidence: 1X
Sat 21 Mar@ Charlton
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Norwich and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly