Millwall vs Norwich City prediction — Championship · Sat 22 Aug · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 22 Aug · 12:30 UK
Millwall 47Draw 26Norwich City 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
Millwall or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Millwall beat Norwich City 3–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Millwall had 19 shots (7 on target) to Norwich City's 8 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.1.

MillwallFull-time statsNorwich City
52%Possession48%
2.6Expected goals (xG)1.1
19Shots8
7Shots on target2
15Shots inside box4
3Big chances1
8Corners3
2Saves4
14Fouls8
9Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMillwall or draw 73%Millwall won (47% called)
Total goals2.83
Both teams to score55%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

MillwallNorwich City
1.6
Goals+0.4
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Millwall to score80%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Norwich City to score69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Millwall 3 · Draws 0 · Norwich City 2
Norwich City in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Millwall 1–2 Norwich City
Aug 2025Norwich City 1–2 Millwall
Apr 2025Millwall 3–1 Norwich City
Dec 2024Norwich City 2–1 Millwall
Dec 2023Millwall 1–0 Norwich City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Millwall vs Norwich City?

Millwall beat Norwich City 3–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Millwall had 19 shots (7 on target) to Norwich City's 8 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Millwall vs Norwich City?

Millwall 3–0 Norwich City, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Millwall 47%, the draw 26% and Norwich City 27%.

What were the stats in Millwall vs Norwich City?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–1.1, Shots 19–8, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 15–4, Big chances 3–1, Corners 8–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 14–8, Offsides 9–0, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Millwall vs Norwich City?

No. It finished 3–0, so Norwich City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Millwall vs Norwich City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Millwall or draw 73%, it finished Millwall won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Millwall form →Norwich City form →