How it finished
Norwich City beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Norwich City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Cardiff City had 10 shots (3 on target) to Norwich City's 12 (3), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Cardiff City vs Norwich City?
Norwich City beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Norwich City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Cardiff City had 10 shots (3 on target) to Norwich City's 12 (3), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Cardiff City vs Norwich City?
Cardiff City 1–2 Norwich City, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cardiff City 34%, the draw 26% and Norwich City 40%.
What were the stats in Cardiff City vs Norwich City?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.6, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 4–8, Big chances 0–5, Corners 5–3, Saves 1–2, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Cardiff City vs Norwich City?
Yes — both Cardiff City and Norwich City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Cardiff City vs Norwich City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Norwich City or draw 66%, it finished Norwich City won (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed.