PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 23 Aug · 13:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 23 Aug · 13:30 UK
PSV Eindhoven 63Draw 19FC Groningen 17
Our call before kickoff
63%
PSV Eindhoven to win
Landed
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
64%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
70%

How it finished

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Groningen 5–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 6. PSV Eindhoven had 24 shots (12 on target) to FC Groningen's 7 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 4.4 to 1.1.

PSV EindhovenFull-time statsFC Groningen
62%Possession38%
4.4Expected goals (xG)1.1
24Shots7
12Shots on target4
19Shots inside box7
9Big chances4
9Corners4
2Saves7
10Fouls4
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPSV Eindhoven to win 63%PSV Eindhoven won (63% called)
Total goals3.66
Both teams to score64%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

PSV EindhovenFC Groningen
2.4
Goals+1.2
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
PSV Eindhoven to score91%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
FC Groningen to score70%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5PSV Eindhoven 5 · Draws 0 · FC Groningen 0
FC Groningen in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026FC Groningen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
Aug 2025PSV Eindhoven 4–2 FC Groningen
Apr 2025FC Groningen 1–3 PSV Eindhoven
Nov 2024PSV Eindhoven 5–0 FC Groningen
Feb 2023PSV Eindhoven 6–0 FC Groningen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen?

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Groningen 5–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 6. PSV Eindhoven had 24 shots (12 on target) to FC Groningen's 7 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 4.4 to 1.1.

What was the final score in PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen?

PSV Eindhoven 5–1 FC Groningen, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with PSV Eindhoven 63%, the draw 19% and FC Groningen 17%.

What were the stats in PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 4.4–1.1, Shots 24–7, Shots on target 12–4, Shots inside box 19–7, Big chances 9–4, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–4, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen?

Yes — both PSV Eindhoven and FC Groningen scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs FC Groningen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PSV Eindhoven to win 63%, it finished PSV Eindhoven won (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

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