What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Rangers vs St Mirren?
Bawler's model rates this match: Rangers are favoured (54% win probability vs 18% for St Mirren, 28% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Rangers vs St Mirren?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Rangers 1-1 St Mirren (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict Rangers vs St Mirren?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Rangers 54%, the draw 28% and St Mirren 18%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Rangers vs St Mirren?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. That is based on Rangers expecting 1.85 goals and St Mirren 0.97.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Rangers vs St Mirren?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 54%.