Bawler / Turkey: Süper Lig / Samsunspor
Team profile

Samsunspor Prediction

Per-game numbers from 44 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.1
a game
11.9 faced
On target
4.3
a game
3.4 faced
Goals
1.4 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 44 matches
Next match
50%
Samsunspor win chance
vs Goztepe · Mon 17 Aug 18:30

Samsunspor prediction: for Samsunspor's next match — Samsunspor vs Goztepe on Monday 17 Aug, 18:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Samsunspor win looks most likely (50%). The model's strongest call is 1X.

Samsunspor sit close to the Süper Lig average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.30 expected goals a game and conceding 1.34. Next up is Goztepe, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 50%.

Samsunspor in numbers

44 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 1.6Away 1.3
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
Home 5.5Away 5.0
13.1
Shots · per game
faced 11.9
Home 14.4Away 11.6
4.3
On target · per game
faced 3.4
Home 5.0Away 3.6
Last 6 games
16 May
3-0
vs Goztepe
0-4
09 May
0-3
@ Basaksehir
5-2
02 May
4-1
vs Galatasaray
3-6
27 Apr
3-2
@ Alanyaspor
5-12
19 Apr
2-1
vs Besiktas
1-7
13 Apr
2-1
@ Eyüpspor
7-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Goztepe · Monday 17 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Win
50%
Samsunspor
Draw
31%
Loss
19%
Goztepe
High confidence · 1X @ 76%
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Samsunspor compare with the Turkey: Süper Lig average, per match.

Goals for
1.30
Below average
Goals against
1.34
Tighter than most
Record
2W 1D 1L
4 settled
Real goals
1.5 – 1.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.30
Conceded1.34

The grey line on each bar is the Turkey: Süper Lig average (1.34 scored, 1.41 conceded).

What the data says
Tough market: Result
Samsunspor matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.
Squad availability · Samsunspor vs Goztepe
Fetching squad availability…

Injuries, suspensions and doubts for both squads, from FotMob. Updates as kickoff nears.

Later fixtures

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INAnto SekongoAMfrom Dunkerque€2.5m
INGabriele GuarinoCBfrom EmpoliFree transfer
INIgor DrapinskiCBfrom Piast GliwiceUndisclosed
INElliot WattDMfrom MotherwellUndisclosed
INBilal BayazitGKfrom KayserisporUndisclosed
INFatih KayaSTfrom Wehen WiesbadenUndisclosed
INSamed OnurDMfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTCarlo HolseAMto St. Louis City€5.2m
OUTRick van DrongelenCBto Panathinaikos€5m
OUTArbnor MujaRWto St.TruidenUndisclosed
OUTOlivier NtchamAMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTLubomír SatkaCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTMuhammet Ali ÖzbaskiciAMto SakaryasporUndisclosed
OUTZeki YavruRBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTSoner GönülLBto Free agentUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Samsunspor and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly