Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 22 Aug · 17:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 22 Aug · 17:00 UK
Caykur Rizespor 38Draw 27Samsunspor 35
Our call before kickoff
65%
Caykur Rizespor or draw
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Samsunspor beat Caykur Rizespor 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Samsunspor 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Caykur Rizespor had 29 shots (8 on target) to Samsunspor's 6 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.3, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.

Caykur…Full-time statsSamsunspor
60%Possession40%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.3
29Shots6
8Shots on target3
13Shots inside box3
0Big chances1
10Corners1
1Saves8
13Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCaykur Rizespor or draw 65%Samsunspor won (35% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score56%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Caykur RizesporSamsunspor
1.4
Goals+0.1
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals77%
Caykur Rizespor to score76%
Samsunspor to score74%
Under 3.5 goals69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Samsunspor in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Samsunspor beat Caykur Rizespor 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Samsunspor 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Caykur Rizespor had 29 shots (8 on target) to Samsunspor's 6 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.3, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Caykur Rizespor 0–2 Samsunspor, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Caykur Rizespor 38%, the draw 27% and Samsunspor 35%.

What were the stats in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.3, Shots 29–6, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 0–1, Corners 10–1, Saves 1–8, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

No. It finished 0–2, so Caykur Rizespor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Caykur Rizespor or draw 65%, it finished Samsunspor won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Caykur Rizespor form →Samsunspor form →