Samsunspor beat Caykur Rizespor 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Samsunspor 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Caykur Rizespor had 29 shots (8 on target) to Samsunspor's 6 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.3, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Samsunspor beat Caykur Rizespor 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Samsunspor 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Caykur Rizespor had 29 shots (8 on target) to Samsunspor's 6 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.3, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Caykur Rizespor 0–2 Samsunspor, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Caykur Rizespor 38%, the draw 27% and Samsunspor 35%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.3, Shots 29–6, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 0–1, Corners 10–1, Saves 1–8, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 0–2, so Caykur Rizespor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Caykur Rizespor or draw 65%, it finished Samsunspor won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.