TURKEY: Super LigMonday 17 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Samsunspor vGoztepe

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Samsunspor 50%Draw 31%Goztepe 19%
Strongest call
Samsunspor or draw
76%
How we get there
SamsunsporstepGoztepe
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Samsunspor or draw
76%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
Goztepe or draw
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Samsunspor average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Göztepe average 3.9 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Samsunspor vs Goztepe — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 16 May 2026, Samsunspor have won 1, Goztepe have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
16 May 2026Samsunspor 30 GoztepeTurkey: Süper Lig

The model's verdict for this fixture: Samsunspor 50% · draw 31% · Goztepe 19%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.