Samsunspor and Goztepe drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 6. Samsunspor had 21 shots (3 on target) to Goztepe's 20 (7), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Samsunspor and Goztepe drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 6. Samsunspor had 21 shots (3 on target) to Goztepe's 20 (7), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.9.
Samsunspor 3–3 Goztepe, played on 17 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Samsunspor 50%, the draw 31% and Goztepe 19%.
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.9, Shots 21–20, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 14–14, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–8, Saves 4–0, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Samsunspor and Goztepe scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Samsunspor or draw 81%, it finished Draw (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Graded pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Samsunspor or draw 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.