Stuttgart operate as a balanced midfield side with marginally suspect defending: their 1.52 xG for against 1.59 conceded suggests clinical finishing opportunities are rare, yet they're prone to individual errors that punish them. Recent form has stalled into inconsistency—one win across the last four settled matches, sandwiched between draws and a defeat—reflecting their struggle to convert marginal chances into points. With no fixture immediately ahead, the focus remains on their underlying model stability going forward. Bawler's banker selections on Stuttgart have maintained a perfect 4/4 conversion rate, suggesting the xG-based framework captures their true performance profile effectively.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Stuttgart were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the GERMANY: Bundesliga average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Stuttgart are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Stuttgart actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Stuttgart's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.