How it finished
Benfica beat AGF 3–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. AGF had 8 shots (3 on target) to Benfica's 15 (8), with 42% of the ball against 58%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won AGF vs Benfica?
Benfica beat AGF 3–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. AGF had 8 shots (3 on target) to Benfica's 15 (8), with 42% of the ball against 58%.
What was the final score in AGF vs Benfica?
AGF 1–3 Benfica, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with AGF 22%, the draw 24% and Benfica 54%.
What were the stats in AGF vs Benfica?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Shots 8–15, Shots on target 3–8, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 11–9, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in AGF vs Benfica?
Yes — both AGF and Benfica scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AGF vs Benfica right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Benfica or draw 78%, it finished Benfica won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Benfica to win 54%, it finished Landed.