How it finished
Al Qadsiah beat Al Diriyah 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Diriyah had 8 shots (2 on target) to Al Qadsiah's 7 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah?
Al Qadsiah beat Al Diriyah 2–0. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Diriyah had 8 shots (2 on target) to Al Qadsiah's 7 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah?
Al Diriyah 0–2 Al Qadsiah, played on 03 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Diriyah 26%, the draw 25% and Al Qadsiah 49%.
What were the stats in Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.2, Shots 8–7, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 3–3, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 2–2, Fouls 12–17, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–5, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah?
No. It finished 0–2, so Al Diriyah failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al Qadsiah right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Qadsiah or draw 74%, it finished Al Qadsiah won (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.