How it finished
Al Fayha and Al Riyadh drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Fayha at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Al Fayha had 11 shots (4 on target) to Al Riyadh's 17 (2), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
Al Fayha and Al Riyadh drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Fayha at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Al Fayha had 11 shots (4 on target) to Al Riyadh's 17 (2), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
Al Fayha 1–1 Al Riyadh, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fayha 41%, the draw 27% and Al Riyadh 31%.
What were the stats in Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.3, Shots 11–17, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 5–9, Saves 1–3, Fouls 5–11, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
Yes — both Al Fayha and Al Riyadh scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Fayha or draw 69%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 54%, it finished Landed.