Al Hazem vs Neom SC prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 14:50 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 14:50 UK
Al Hazem 28Draw 27Neom SC 45
Our call before kickoff
72%
Neom SC or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
65%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

Al Hazem and Neom SC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Neom SC at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Hazem had 7 shots (3 on target) to Neom SC's 9 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.6.

Al HazemFull-time statsNeom SC
38%Possession62%
0.7Expected goals (xG)1.6
7Shots9
3Shots on target3
6Shots inside box8
1Big chances3
2Corners5
2Saves2
13Fouls8
2Offsides3
3Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNeom SC or draw 72%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score55%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al HazemNeom SC
1.2
Goals+0.4
1.6
10.4
Shots+8.8
19.2
2.5
On target+3.7
6.1
3.3
Corners+2.9
6.2
Al HazemNeom SC
0.3
Goals+0.2
0.5
4.7
Shots+3.9
8.7
1.1
On target+1.6
2.7
1.5
Corners+1.4
2.9
Al HazemNeom SC
0.9
Goals+0.2
1.1
5.7
Shots+4.8
10.5
1.4
On target+2.1
3.5
1.7
Corners+1.5
3.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Neom SC to score79%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Al Hazem to score70%

First half — what we expected

Al Hazem
29%
to score before half-time
Neom SC
50%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%

Al HazemNeom SC
4.71st-half shots8.7
1.11st-half shots on target2.7
1.51st-half corners2.9

First-half chances

15%Chance of 8+ shots59%
<10%Chance of 10+ shots38%
30%Chance of 2+ shots on target71%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target29%
42%Chance of 2+ corners73%
<10%Chance of 4+ corners33%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Hazem4.75.7
Shots · Neom SC8.710.5
Shots on target · Al Hazem1.11.4
Shots on target · Neom SC2.73.5
Corners · Al Hazem1.51.7
Corners · Neom SC2.93.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Al Hazem form (last 6)L D D W L D
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Hazem 1 · Draws 1 · Neom SC 3
Neom SC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Neom SC 1–1 Al Hazem
Jan 2026Al Hazem 1–2 Neom SC
Sept 2025Al Hazem 2–1 Neom SC
Feb 2025Al Hazem 0–2 Neom SC
Oct 2024Neom SC 2–0 Al Hazem
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Hazem vs Neom SC?

Al Hazem and Neom SC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Neom SC at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Hazem had 7 shots (3 on target) to Neom SC's 9 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Al Hazem vs Neom SC?

Al Hazem 1–1 Neom SC, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hazem 28%, the draw 27% and Neom SC 45%.

What were the stats in Al Hazem vs Neom SC?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.6, Shots 7–9, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–2, Fouls 13–8, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–0.

Did both teams score in Al Hazem vs Neom SC?

Yes — both Al Hazem and Neom SC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Hazem vs Neom SC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Neom SC or draw 72%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Hazem form →Neom SC form →