Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 19:00 UK
Al Hilal 75Draw 15Al Ittihad 10
Our call before kickoff
75%
Al Hilal to win
Landed
3.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
86%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
71%

How it finished

Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. Al Hilal had 16 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 8 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.

Al HilalFull-time statsAl Ittihad
48%Possession52%
2.3Expected goals (xG)1.2
16Shots8
7Shots on target5
11Shots inside box4
4Big chances2
9Corners4
3Saves4
14Fouls11
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Hilal to win 75%Al Hilal won (75% called)
Total goals3.75
Both teams to score57%Yes
Second pickOver 3.5 goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al HilalAl Ittihad
2.8
Goals+1.8
0.9
15.6
Shots+6.0
9.6
7.2
On target+2.9
4.2
5.4
Corners+1.5
3.9
Al HilalAl Ittihad
0.8
Goals+0.4
0.4
7.6
Shots+3.2
4.4
3.5
On target+1.5
2.0
2.5
Corners+0.7
1.8
Al HilalAl Ittihad
2.0
Goals+1.4
0.6
8.0
Shots+2.8
5.2
3.7
On target+1.4
2.2
2.9
Corners+0.8
2.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Al Hilal to score94%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Al Ittihad to score61%

First half — what we expected

Al Hilal
79%
to score before half-time
Al Ittihad
35%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 86%

Al HilalAl Ittihad
7.61st-half shots4.4
3.51st-half shots on target2.0
2.51st-half corners1.8

First-half chances

58%Chance of 7+ shots19%
36%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
83%Chance of 2+ shots on target56%
45%Chance of 4+ shots on target16%
67%Chance of 2+ corners50%
26%Chance of 4+ corners14%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Hilal7.68.0
Shots · Al Ittihad4.45.2
Shots on target · Al Hilal3.53.7
Shots on target · Al Ittihad2.02.2
Corners · Al Hilal2.52.9
Corners · Al Ittihad1.82.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Al Hilal form (last 6)W W W L W W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Hilal 2 · Draws 2 · Al Ittihad 1
Al Ittihad in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Hilal 1–1 Al Ittihad
Oct 2025Al Ittihad 0–2 Al Hilal
Feb 2025Al Ittihad 4–1 Al Hilal
Jan 2025Al Hilal 2–2 Al Ittihad
Sept 2024Al Hilal 3–1 Al Ittihad
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. Al Hilal had 16 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 8 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Al Hilal 3–2 Al Ittihad, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hilal 75%, the draw 15% and Al Ittihad 10%.

What were the stats in Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.2, Shots 16–8, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 9–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Yes — both Al Hilal and Al Ittihad scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal to win 75%, it finished Al Hilal won (75% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Hilal form →Al Ittihad form →