Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. Al Hilal had 16 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 8 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 86%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Hilal in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. Al Hilal had 16 shots (7 on target) to Al Ittihad's 8 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.
Al Hilal 3–2 Al Ittihad, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hilal 75%, the draw 15% and Al Ittihad 10%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.2, Shots 16–8, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 9–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Al Hilal and Al Ittihad scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Hilal to win 75%, it finished Al Hilal won (75% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.