Al Qadsiah beat Al Kholood 5–0. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Al Kholood had 14 shots (4 on target) to Al Qadsiah's 20 (9), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 5.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Qadsiah beat Al Kholood 5–0. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Al Kholood had 14 shots (4 on target) to Al Qadsiah's 20 (9), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 5.2.
Al Kholood 0–5 Al Qadsiah, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Kholood 18%, the draw 22% and Al Qadsiah 60%.
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–5.2, Shots 14–20, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 10–15, Big chances 4–8, Corners 10–6, Saves 4–4, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–5, so Al Kholood failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Qadsiah to win 60%, it finished Al Qadsiah won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.