Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah prediction — Saudi Pro League · Fri 9 Oct · 14:50 UK

Saudi Pro League · Fri 9 Oct · 14:50 UK
Al Kholood 18Draw 22Al Qadsiah 60
Our call before kickoff
60%
Al Qadsiah to win
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–5
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
62%

How it finished

Al Qadsiah beat Al Kholood 5–0. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Al Kholood had 14 shots (4 on target) to Al Qadsiah's 20 (9), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 5.2.

Al KholoodFull-time statsAl Qadsiah
39%Possession61%
2.5Expected goals (xG)5.2
14Shots20
4Shots on target9
10Shots inside box15
4Big chances8
10Corners6
4Saves4
9Fouls9
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Qadsiah to win 60%Al Qadsiah won (60% called)
Total goals3.25
Both teams to score58%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al KholoodAl Qadsiah
1.1
Goals+1.0
2.1
7.9
Shots+5.6
13.5
3.1
On target+2.5
5.6
3.5
Corners+2.6
6.2
Al KholoodAl Qadsiah
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.6
3.8
Shots+2.4
6.2
1.5
On target+1.1
2.5
1.7
Corners+1.2
2.9
Al KholoodAl Qadsiah
0.6
Goals+0.9
1.5
4.1
Shots+3.2
7.3
1.6
On target+1.5
3.1
1.9
Corners+1.4
3.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Al Qadsiah to score88%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Al Kholood to score66%
Over 2.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Al Kholood
50%
to score before half-time
Al Qadsiah
59%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Al KholoodAl Qadsiah
3.81st-half shots6.2
1.51st-half shots on target2.5
1.71st-half corners2.9

First-half chances

34%Chance of 5+ shots68%
14%Chance of 7+ shots42%
41%Chance of 2+ shots on target68%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
46%Chance of 2+ corners73%
12%Chance of 4+ corners33%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Kholood3.84.1
Shots · Al Qadsiah6.27.3
Shots on target · Al Kholood1.51.6
Shots on target · Al Qadsiah2.53.1
Corners · Al Kholood1.71.9
Corners · Al Qadsiah2.93.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Al Kholood form (last 6)D W D W L L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 4Al Kholood 0 · Draws 0 · Al Qadsiah 4
Al Qadsiah in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Al Kholood 1–4 Al Qadsiah
Nov 2025Al Qadsiah 4–0 Al Kholood
May 2025Al Qadsiah 4–1 Al Kholood
Dec 2024Al Kholood 0–3 Al Qadsiah
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah?

Al Qadsiah beat Al Kholood 5–0. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. Al Kholood had 14 shots (4 on target) to Al Qadsiah's 20 (9), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 5.2.

What was the final score in Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah?

Al Kholood 0–5 Al Qadsiah, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Kholood 18%, the draw 22% and Al Qadsiah 60%.

What were the stats in Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–5.2, Shots 14–20, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 10–15, Big chances 4–8, Corners 10–6, Saves 4–4, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah?

No. It finished 0–5, so Al Kholood failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Kholood vs Al Qadsiah right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Qadsiah to win 60%, it finished Al Qadsiah won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Kholood form →Al Qadsiah form →