Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Anderlecht had 15 shots (8 on target) to Kairat Almaty's 6 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Anderlecht had 15 shots (8 on target) to Kairat Almaty's 6 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.3.
Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Anderlecht 63%, the draw 21% and Kairat Almaty 16%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–0.3, Shots 15–6, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 6–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
No. It finished 3–0, so Kairat Almaty failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Anderlecht to win 63%, it finished Anderlecht won (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No.