Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK
Anderlecht 63Draw 21Kairat Almaty 16
Our call before kickoff
63%
Anderlecht to win
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
64%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Anderlecht had 15 shots (8 on target) to Kairat Almaty's 6 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.3.

AnderlechtFull-time statsKairat Almaty
58%Possession42%
3.2Expected goals (xG)0.3
15Shots6
8Shots on target3
12Shots inside box2
6Big chances1
7Corners3
3Saves5
13Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAnderlecht to win 63%Anderlecht won (63% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score56%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AnderlechtKairat Almaty
2.2
Goals+1.1
1.0
28.8
Shots+18.2
10.6
11.5
On target+7.8
3.7
10.4
Corners+7.5
3.0
AnderlechtKairat Almaty
0.5
Goals+0.3
0.2
13.1
Shots+8.2
4.8
4.7
On target+3.3
1.4
4.9
Corners+3.5
1.4
AnderlechtKairat Almaty
1.6
Goals+0.8
0.8
15.7
Shots+9.9
5.8
6.8
On target+4.5
2.3
5.5
Corners+4.0
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Anderlecht to score88%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Kairat Almaty to score63%
Under 3.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

Anderlecht
53%
to score before half-time
Kairat Almaty
22%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%

AnderlechtKairat Almaty
13.11st-half shots4.8
4.71st-half shots on target1.4
4.91st-half corners1.4

First-half chances

61%Chance of 12+ shots<10%
43%Chance of 14+ shots<10%
66%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
34%Chance of 6+ shots on target<10%
67%Chance of 4+ corners<10%
37%Chance of 6+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Anderlecht13.115.7
Shots · Kairat Almaty4.85.8
Shots on target · Anderlecht4.76.8
Shots on target · Kairat Almaty1.42.3
Corners · Anderlecht4.95.5
Corners · Kairat Almaty1.41.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.1 / match
Kairat Almaty in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0. Bawler's model had Anderlecht in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Anderlecht had 15 shots (8 on target) to Kairat Almaty's 6 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 3.2 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Anderlecht 63%, the draw 21% and Kairat Almaty 16%.

What were the stats in Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 3.2–0.3, Shots 15–6, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 6–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

No. It finished 3–0, so Kairat Almaty failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Anderlecht to win 63%, it finished Anderlecht won (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

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