How it finished
Arouca beat Moreirense 4–0. Bawler's model had Arouca in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Arouca had 14 shots (6 on target) to Moreirense's 5 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Arouca vs Moreirense?
Arouca beat Moreirense 4–0. Bawler's model had Arouca in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Arouca had 14 shots (6 on target) to Moreirense's 5 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Arouca vs Moreirense?
Arouca 4–0 Moreirense, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Arouca 46%, the draw 29% and Moreirense 25%.
What were the stats in Arouca vs Moreirense?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.5, Shots 14–5, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 10–3, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–3, Saves 1–2, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 3–4.
Did both teams score in Arouca vs Moreirense?
No. It finished 4–0, so Moreirense failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Arouca vs Moreirense right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Arouca or draw 75%, it finished Arouca won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Arouca or draw 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Arouca to win 50%, it finished Landed.