Bawler / Portugal: Primeira Liga / Moreirense
Team profile

Moreirense Prediction

Per-game numbers from 35 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
8.9
a game
13.1 faced
On target
3.2
a game
4.5 faced
Goals
1.1 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 35 matches
Corners
3.7
a game
4.7 against

Moreirense prediction: Bawler's model rates Moreirense at 1.42 expected goals scored and 1.36 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 75% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 4 settled matches. No Moreirense fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Moreirense sit close to the Primeira Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.42 expected goals a game and conceding 1.36. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 4. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Moreirense have been correct 75% of the time.

Moreirense in numbers

35 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.2Away 1.0
3.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.7
Home 4.0Away 3.3
8.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.1
Home 9.2Away 8.5
3.2
On target · per game
faced 4.5
Home 3.1Away 3.4
Last 6 games
09 Aug
2-2
vs Braga
4-2
16 May
0-0
vs AFS
5-3
11 May
0-2
@ Tondela
8-1
02 May
3-2
vs Estrela
1-4
25 Apr
1-4
@ Benfica
2-9
20 Apr
1-0
vs Estoril
5-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Moreirense compare with the Portugal: Primeira Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.42
Above average
Goals against
1.36
Tighter than most
Record
0W 2D 2L
4 settled
Real goals
0.5 – 1.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.42
Conceded1.36

The grey line on each bar is the Portugal: Primeira Liga average (1.35 scored, 1.45 conceded).

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INJoão VelosoCMfrom BenficaLoan
INJandersonfrom CruzeiroUndisclosed
INAranhafrom PalmeirasLoan
OUTAlanCMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTCedric TeguiaRWto AD CeutaUndisclosed
OUTCaio SeccoGKto LeixoesFree transfer
OUTJoel JorqueraRWto Real MurciaUndisclosed
OUTFabiano SouzaRBto VitoriaLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Moreirense and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly