How it finished
Atlanta United FC beat Red Bull New York 2–1. Bawler's model had Atlanta United FC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Atlanta United FC had 10 shots (3 on target) to Red Bull New York's 11 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York?
Atlanta United FC beat Red Bull New York 2–1. Bawler's model had Atlanta United FC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Atlanta United FC had 10 shots (3 on target) to Red Bull New York's 11 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York?
Atlanta United FC 2–1 Red Bull New York, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlanta United FC 45%, the draw 27% and Red Bull New York 28%.
What were the stats in Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–1.9, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 5–7, Big chances 5–2, Corners 3–7, Saves 2–1, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York?
Yes — both Atlanta United FC and Red Bull New York scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atlanta United FC or draw 72%, it finished Atlanta United FC won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.