How it finished
Bayer Leverkusen beat NK Celje 2–0. Bawler's model had Bayer Leverkusen in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Bayer Leverkusen had 17 shots (8 on target) to NK Celje's 5 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje?
Bayer Leverkusen beat NK Celje 2–0. Bawler's model had Bayer Leverkusen in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Bayer Leverkusen had 17 shots (8 on target) to NK Celje's 5 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje?
Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 NK Celje, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bayer Leverkusen 65%, the draw 20% and NK Celje 15%.
What were the stats in Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.9, Shots 17–5, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 5–3, Corners 6–2, Saves 3–7, Fouls 16–10, Offsides 2–1.
Did both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje?
No. It finished 2–0, so NK Celje failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs NK Celje right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayer Leverkusen to win 65%, it finished Bayer Leverkusen won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No.