Belgium vs Türkiye prediction — UEFA Nations League · Fri 2 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Fri 2 Oct · 19:45 UK
Belgium 79Draw 14Türkiye 7
Our call before kickoff
79%
Belgium to win
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
48%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
67%

How it finished

Belgium beat Türkiye 3–0. Bawler's model had Belgium in front at 79% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBelgium to win 79%Belgium won (79% called)
Total goals3.53
Both teams to score48%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BelgiumTürkiye
2.7
Goals+2.0
0.7
BelgiumTürkiye
0.7
Goals+0.4
0.3
BelgiumTürkiye
2.0
Goals+1.6
0.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Belgium to score94%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Belgium
70%
to score before half-time
Türkiye
27%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+2.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 3Belgium 0 · Draws 1 · Türkiye 2

Head to head

Jun 2011Belgium 1–1 Turkiye
Sept 2010Turkiye 3–2 Belgium
Jun 2000Turkiye 2–0 Belgium
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Belgium vs Türkiye?

Belgium beat Türkiye 3–0. Bawler's model had Belgium in front at 79% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3.

What was the final score in Belgium vs Türkiye?

Belgium 3–0 Türkiye, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Belgium 79%, the draw 14% and Türkiye 7%.

Did both teams score in Belgium vs Türkiye?

No. It finished 3–0, so Türkiye failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Belgium vs Türkiye right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Belgium to win 79%, it finished Belgium won (79% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Belgium form →Türkiye form →