How it finished
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Aston Villa 4–0. Bawler's model had Brighton & Hove Albion in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Brighton & Hove Albion had 21 shots (6 on target) to Aston Villa's 6 (0), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Aston Villa 4–0. Bawler's model had Brighton & Hove Albion in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Brighton & Hove Albion had 21 shots (6 on target) to Aston Villa's 6 (0), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.3.
What was the final score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?
Brighton & Hove Albion 4–0 Aston Villa, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brighton & Hove Albion 46%, the draw 26% and Aston Villa 28%.
What were the stats in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?
Full-time: Possession 73%–27%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–0.3, Shots 21–6, Shots on target 6–0, Shots inside box 15–2, Big chances 6–0, Corners 5–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 6–2, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?
No. It finished 4–0, so Aston Villa failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brighton & Hove Albion or draw 72%, it finished Brighton & Hove Albion won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed.