Aston Villa
Aston Villa show a balanced attacking profile (1.40 xG per match) paired with modest defensive solidity (1.29 conceded), positioning them as a controlled rather than dominant force in Europa League play-offs. Recent form has been mixed—two wins bookended by losses before stabilising with back-to-back victories—though their nine-match settled record (6W-1D-2L) reflects underlying consistency. With no imminent fixtures in the current window, the model awaits their next Europa League assignment. Bawler's banker picks have landed at 67% on Villa matches, suggesting reliable early reads on their European encounters.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Aston Villa were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Aston Villa are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Aston Villa actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Aston Villa's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Aston Villa fixture, the model lands 7 out of 10 (70%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Aston Villa fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Aston Villa matches.