Burnley vs West Ham United prediction — Championship · Sun 16 Aug · 16:00 UK

Championship · Sun 16 Aug · 16:00 UK
Burnley 34Draw 28West Ham United 37
Our call before kickoff
66%
West Ham United or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

Burnley and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Burnley had 17 shots (5 on target) to West Ham United's 11 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.3.

BurnleyFull-time statsWest Ham…
46%Possession54%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.3
17Shots11
5Shots on target2
9Shots inside box10
4Big chances2
6Corners6
0Saves2
12Fouls9
0Offsides1
0Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callWest Ham United or draw 66%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.74
Both teams to score53%Yes
Graded pick (as published before kickoff)Burnley or draw 65%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BurnleyWest Ham United
1.5
Goals+0.3
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Burnley to score77%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
West Ham United to score69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Burnley 0 · Draws 2 · West Ham United 3
West Ham United in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Burnley 0–2 West Ham United
Nov 2025West Ham United 3–2 Burnley
Mar 2024West Ham United 2–2 Burnley
Nov 2023Burnley 1–2 West Ham United
Apr 2022West Ham United 1–1 Burnley
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Burnley vs West Ham United?

Burnley and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Burnley had 17 shots (5 on target) to West Ham United's 11 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Burnley vs West Ham United?

Burnley 2–2 West Ham United, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Burnley 34%, the draw 28% and West Ham United 37%.

What were the stats in Burnley vs West Ham United?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.3, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–6, Saves 0–2, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–4.

Did both teams score in Burnley vs West Ham United?

Yes — both Burnley and West Ham United scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Burnley vs West Ham United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United or draw 66%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Burnley or draw 65%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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