Burnley vWest Ham United
Burnley's desperate fight to escape the relegation zone contrasts sharply with West Ham's comfort, yet the hosts generate superior expected goals (1.49 vs 1.16), making the 65% forecast for 1X reflect their desperation-driven edge at home.
BurnleystepWest Ham UnitedModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Burnley average 3.8 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). West Ham average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Burnley vs West Ham — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Burnley and West Ham — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Burnley 34% · draw 28% · West Ham 37%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.