Burnley and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Burnley had 17 shots (5 on target) to West Ham United's 11 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Burnley and West Ham United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Burnley had 17 shots (5 on target) to West Ham United's 11 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.3.
Burnley 2–2 West Ham United, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Burnley 34%, the draw 28% and West Ham United 37%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.3, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–6, Saves 0–2, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–4.
Yes — both Burnley and West Ham United scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United or draw 66%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick (as published before kickoff) — we said Burnley or draw 65%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.