How it finished
CF Montréal and D.C. United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. CF Montréal had 20 shots (7 on target) to D.C. United's 7 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won CF Montréal vs D.C. United?
CF Montréal and D.C. United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. CF Montréal had 20 shots (7 on target) to D.C. United's 7 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.6.
What was the final score in CF Montréal vs D.C. United?
CF Montréal 1–1 D.C. United, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 39%, the draw 31% and D.C. United 30%.
What were the stats in CF Montréal vs D.C. United?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.6, Shots 20–7, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 12–4, Big chances 5–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 1–7, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs D.C. United?
Yes — both CF Montréal and D.C. United scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for CF Montréal vs D.C. United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CF Montréal or draw 70%, it finished Draw (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.